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Peter Sylwester
Peter Sylwester

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I got vaccinated. Let me tell you what happened.

Day two. I received my first dose of the Pfizer COVID vaccine on Saturday morning. I had a bit of a headache that afternoon but otherwise, no side effects. The next day, Sunday, day two, I woke up with some aches and pains, but at my age, it’s hard to…

Covid 19

11 min read

I got vaccinated. Let me tell you what happened.
I got vaccinated. Let me tell you what happened.

Apr 15

The Risk Perception Paradox

It’s not a common occurrence, but a snake will eat itself — it mistakes its tail for another snake and then devours it until it essentially devours itself, becoming both victor and victim. We are now witnessing an interesting phenomenon. Humanity has been posed with a once-in-a-millennium contagion yet has…

Covid 19

2 min read

The Risk Perception Paradox
The Risk Perception Paradox

Nov 10, 2021

Aaron is no Bart

When I was a kid in Nebraska, my heroes were Batman and Bart Starr, quarterback of the Green Bay Packers. At 7 years old, I wasn’t particularly fond of football, but I had a mess of older brothers…

Covid 19

4 min read

Aaron is no Bart
Aaron is no Bart

Oct 30, 2021

We Are Aliens from Another World

For a few seasons in the late 60s, there was a show on TV called, “The Invaders.” It was about aliens who walked among us, looking like humans in every way except for a stiff little finger. The aliens were invading Earth by infiltrating the police force and military and…

Covid 19

3 min read

We Are Aliens from Another World
We Are Aliens from Another World

Aug 20, 2021

The 99% Survivorship Bias

Maybe you’ve heard this story before, but during the Second World War, warplanes returning from battle were examined for the damage they sustained, and it was assumed that bullet holes indicated places needing armor reinforcement — you know, to keep the planes flying. But then a statistician named Abraham Wald…

Covid 19

2 min read

The 99% Survivorship Bias
The 99% Survivorship Bias

Jun 3, 2021

Volcanic Virology

Way up at the edge of the Arctic Circle, a dot in the middle of nowhere, is the Nordisk Vulkanologisk Institut (NordVulk), one of the world’s most prestigious institutes of volcanology and related earth sciences. Oddly, this past March, just 50 kilometers away, a mountain named Fagradalsfjall erupted with spectacular…

Covid 19

4 min read

Volcanic Virology
Volcanic Virology

May 31, 2021

Freedom Is What Freedom Does

There’s been a lot of talk this past year about “Freedom!” …Freedom and “Tyranny!” …Tyranny and “My Rights!” How cheap we are, throwing those words around as if we own them. As if we even know what they mean. Imagine, for just one moment, the most frightening experience in your…

Vaccine Hesitancy

3 min read

Freedom Is What Freedom Does
Freedom Is What Freedom Does

Apr 19, 2021

What Dr. Fauci Could Have Said

There’s a cool thing in statistics called the “normal distribution”. Basically, nothing really happens in the same way and all at once, but if you plot the details, they always tend to fall along a nice and neat bell-shaped curve. For instance, this is the “bell curve” that teachers use…

Covid 19

5 min read

What Dr. Fauci Could Have Said
What Dr. Fauci Could Have Said

Apr 15, 2021

The Elusive Illusion

One of the most inexplicable phenomena of this pandemic is a supposed “survival rate” of something like “99.9%” or whatever high number the arguer pulls out of a hat. The gist of this logic is we should not care that much about the people who succumb to COVID because so…

Covid 19

2 min read

The Elusive Illusion
The Elusive Illusion

Dec 10, 2020

The Implausibility of Plausible

Yesterday I sat on hold for an hour and twenty minutes, and then the automated system hung up on me. Don’t you hate it when that happens? Isn’t it weird that you know exactly what I’m talking about? You’ve been there too, haven’t you? Haven’t we all? We expect things…

Politics

3 min read

The Implausibility of Plausible
The Implausibility of Plausible
Peter Sylwester

Peter Sylwester

Sent from a future where everyone thinks as slowly as me.

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